In The Shadow of Banks: Wealth Management Products and Issuing Banks’ Risk in China

نویسندگان

  • Viral V. Acharya
  • Jun “QJ” Qian
  • Zhishu Yang
چکیده

With regulations on deposit rates and on-balance-sheet lending, Chinese banks have significantly increased off-balance-sheet activities in recent years, most notably by issuing wealth management products. We examine the relationship between the product characteristics and the issuing banks and find that (1) the scale of product issuance is greater for banks constrained more by on-balance-sheet lending quotas, especially for nonguaranteed products and when the difference between market rate and the regulated deposit rate is high; (2) the initial promised yields on the products are positively related to the risk of the issuing banks, especially for non-guaranteed products that are issued to institutional investors (as compared to those issued to individuals); and (3) the issuance poses a substantial rollover risk for issuers on days when large amount of products mature. Overall, the large shadow-banking sector in China appears to be a regulatory arbitrage response, contributing to the fragility of the Chinese banking system. JEL Classifications: G2, E4, L2.

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تاریخ انتشار 2016